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Mathematical
evidence there is a God.
When
we speak of evidence we speak of probabilities. Some probabilities can be figured
exactly. The chance that you can call the toss of a coin correctly is one in
two. To call it correctly, twice in a row, is one-half of one-half of a chance,
or one-quarter of a chance. Put another way, it’s three to one against calling
the toss of a coin correctly twice in a row.
There
are probabilities that can’t be figured exactly, only estimated.
If you
were going to the phone to call a friend that you hadn’t spoken to in three
months and the phone rings and it’s him, this is a long shot. You can only estimate
the probability of it happening. If something has happened that day that is
of a large interest to both of you, it makes the probability much smaller. Still
you can`t come up with an exact figure—only an estimate.
Let’s
go back to probabilities that can be figured exactly.
In January,
Joe Smith bets a dollar in a lottery and wins a million dollars. (To make it
simple we will assume that the lottery people don`t take anything.) Joe had
a million to one shot occur.
In February,
Joe bets a dollar and wins another million. The chance of this happening twice
in a row is one chance in 1,000,000,000,000.
In March,
Joe bets a dollar and wins another million. The odds against three million to
one shots, in a row, is one chance in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000. Joe is on international
television.
Both
in April and May, Joe bets a dollar and gets the same results. The odds are
now 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 to one. The police put Joe in
jail while they look for his accomplices.
Let’s
take a series of long shots that exact figures can’t be based on. A young man,
Jack Dreyfus, won the City Golf Championship, of Montgomery, Ala., twice, before
he was twenty. He won eighteen club championships at four different country
clubs and qualified for the National Amateur three times out of three. When
he was fifty he stopped playing golf. At the age of sixty-one, with a great
partner, he won the National Open Doubles Lawn Tennis Championship for sixties
and over (open means for pros and amateurs). When he was seventy, in Australia,
he won the World’s Open Doubles Lawn Tennis Championship for seventies and over.
Jack was not a professional athlete. It’s probably a hundred million to one
against this. Let’s use a conservative figure of a million to one.
When
he was twenty-eight, Jack qualified for the Masters’ Bridge Tournament. When
he was thirty, he devised a scientific method for playing gin rummy and beat
the best players. The Encyclopedia of Bridge, for twenty years, said
he was reputed to be the best gin rummy player in the United States. Master
Bridge player and best gin rummy player in the United States. Let’s estimate
it’s a million to one shot.
He bred
racehorses. Twice he received the Turf Writers Award for the Best Breeder of
the Year. He was head of the Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association
and conducted a boycott against the State, enabling the horsemen to get an extra
half percent of the “take.” He received the Fitzsimmons Award, “One Who Contributed
Most to the Best Interests of Racing.” He was elected a member of the Board
of Trustees of The New York Racing Association. On two occasions he was made
Chairman, the only person who was Chairman twice, and he received the Eclipse
Award, “Man Who Did the Most for Racing.” It’s reasonable to estimate that it’s
a million to one against such a career in racing.
Jack
started a small brokerage firm. Business was poor and advertising was necessary.
The budget was so small, that he had to write the advertisements himself. He
had no education or training in advertising. Competing against the best advertising
agencies, his firm received a gold trophy for best advertising on Wall Street,
the first award given by Standard & Poor’s. It’s reasonable to estimate
it’s a million to one against this.
A mutual
fund was started which Jack managed for twelve years. It got the best record
of all the funds. We won’t put a figure on that. He wrote the prospectus and
did the promotion and received an award, “One of the five best marketing persons
for the 1960 to 1970 decade.” The odds against this are tremendous. But let’s
call it just a million to one.
The head
of research for Polaroid, recommended that he buy the stock because they were
making 3D glasses, and he did. 3D movies didn’t succeed. But this brought Jack’s
attention to the Polaroid camera and he figured if it had come first, Eastman
Kodak would have had a hard time selling its camera. So he bought a lot of stock
and made a tremendous amount of money. Secretary of State, William Rogers, a
close friend, said he was one of the twenty-five richest men in the country.
(There was only one billionaire at that time.) As a boy he hadn’t made a go
of three jobs at $15.00 a week. His mother thought he would never make a living,
and his father thought he was lazy. Yet he became one of the richest men in
the United States. This is certainly a million to one shot.
But nothing
important had happened. Then something did.
After
suffering from an endogenous depression for over five years, Jack asked his
physician to give him a drug not known to be useful for his symptoms. It worked
promptly. Over the next year he introduced six people with similar conditions
to physicians to receive the drug, and they all had similar responses. For a
patient to ask his physician for one drug out of a pharmacopeia of thousands,
and be correct, is unheard of. A billion to one, but let’s call it a million
to one.
The chance
of one man having seven million to one shots occur is one in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
After
unsuccessful attempts to get the medical profession to investigate, Jack felt
obligated to leave his highly successful businesses in Wall Street to research
the medicine, and established a Medical Foundation.
Over
the years the Foundation discovered this medicine had been reported useful for
over seventy symptoms and disorders, by independent and objective physicians
around the world, in 350 medical journals, written in twenty different languages.
The Foundation condensed these studies into bibliographies, one in 1970, another
in 1975 and a third in 1988, and sent them to all the physicians in the U.S.
The last bibliography contained 3,100 medical references and was accompanied
by a book, A Remarkable Medicine Has Been Overlooked, which Jack wrote.
Due mostly
to the Foundation’s efforts, phenytoin is now being used in China, Russia, Ghana,
India and Mexico for over fifty symptoms and disorders. Although it was introduced
in the United States, its only listing with the FDA is for a single disorder.
As shown
earlier, it was a 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
against Jack doing all these things on his own. There must have been a God that
helped him.
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